DEMOCRACIAS

Democracia es un termino engañoso.Si le ponemos apellido,la adulteramos.Pero solo con el susbtantico,es confuso.Democracia a secas,es un cajon de sastre.En ese cajon caben las democarcias llamadas Universales o un hombra un voto y el juego de las mayorias,50% mas 1.Hay otras democracias que no son universales,sino filtradas por medio de representantes que reciben el mandato al final del Estado o territorio,como en Estados Unidos.Hay democracias con el voto obligatorio por ley.como en algunos pueblos de Latinoamerica y otros libres a una sola vuelta o a dos vueltas.Hay Democracias con el voto mas pesado segun las regiones..Vascongadas o Barcelona y sus provincias y otras Democracias con Ballotage como en Francia.Hay Democracias en donde el ganador se lleva todo el Distrito y otras con el voto atomizado,donde el parlamento es un nido de grillos y componendas.Ninguna Democracia,hace caso de la participacion electoral y aunque a veces solo vota menos de la mitad del electorado se entiende ese resultado como VOLUNTAD POPULAR expresado en las urnas.Se sigue asi el aforismo" lo que no esta en los autos no esta en ell mundo",o lo que no se expresa en las urnas no existe.Habria que calibrar si el que calla otorga! o el que calla SENCILLAMENTE no DICE NADA.La Democracia asume no obstante la representatividad de los que votaron,de los que no votaron y en ocasiones en las Democracias Corruptas..el voto de los desplazados estrategicos para el voto...digamos desde Barcelona a Extremadura y el voto Zombi,de aquellos que computan desde el otro mundo.Ya lo dijo Jeferson...."The Earht belong to the living Gereneration".Un grano no hace granero pero ayuda al compañero y en la Democracia del 50% mas 1, a veces cinco votos son determinantes,para la eleccion de alcalde.Entonces ...cuando hablamos de Democracia,de que estamos hablando?.De una Democracia u otra?... sin contar la aberracion de las Democracias Populares o las Organicas.Hay pues sensibles diferencias que a la postre,alteran profundisimamente el juego de poder y la estabilidad politica de un pais.Hay Talibanes de una suerte de Democracia porque les beneficia mientras otros esa misma es rechazada por antidemocratica.Unos que aceptan que como los salarios crecen con el IPC,otros preferirian que los Diputados crecieran en numero segun la productividad de los representantes y amortizar puestos lejos de aumentarlos en una Babel de pillos y soñolientos.Hay por tanto Democracias segun los gustos los colores y la desverguenza de los aspirantes a politicos Reunidos en su Sindicato Cerrado y Endogamico.DEMOCRACIA,bella palabra si no fuera por los DEMOCRATAS PROFESIONALES.

ESPAÑA 50 AÑOS DESPUES

Parece que fue ayer,cuando la España Nacional Sindicalista,que representaba la quinta esencia anarco-sindical-falangista y mas ideológica del Régimen del 18 de Julio,fue desplazada por la tozudez de los hechos como lo fue la diabólica Unión Soviética.Hicieron crisis,porque....una cosa es predicar y otra dar trigo.Los sistemas políticos han demostrado ser mas junco que estaca.Aquel se adapta,permanece,la estaca es batida por el viento.Fue Franco entonces el que visto lo visto,tuvo que desmontar aquella aberración Nacional Sindicalista e introducir aires nuevos.No fueron los de la camisa azul los que pusieron a España en la senda del crecimiento...fueron Ullastres,señor de los pies a la cabeza del que todavía recuerdo una charla informal con aquel patricio español valioso y desconocido.Se acabo la Revolución Permanentemente Pendiente de aquel joven héroe del alto de los leones,que se llamo en vida Giron de Velasco...aquel que ya ciego en su refugio de Fuengirola aun esperaba lo imposible.Se decía entonces que si un caníbal entrara de urtadillas a la sede del INP en  Alcalá o a la de los Sindicatos Verticales,frente al Prado,guarida que fue de Turismo en tiempos de Fraga,el Inmortal....podria comerse un sindicalista al dia sin que se notara durante  años.La España Autonomica heredo el traje Nacional Sindicalista,en una talla XXXXL.Lo de Giron y sus secuaces una broma comparado con el injusto y artificial poderío de los Sindicatos Clasistas Social-Comunistas.Ahí no ya un antropofago!,con todos los seguidores de IDI AMIN,en cronicas vampiricas y...... tal cual.Aquellos todavia enjutos por el racionamiento,correosos y facilmente despachables..pero estos...los progresistas, orondos,gordos por los Bullis y  la  Fast Food de los cruceros contaminados de Coli del Bueno,.....son mas difícil de digerir.
Ese es el problema.....,donde hay un Franco democrático,que acabe con ese cancer,esa caterva de lampen,que nos asustan con.... o eso o..... las barricadas.La Monarquía tiembla con la perpectiva de su salida precipitada por la quiebra de la Paz Social,que los lumpen,se dice, nos garantizan y con cuya quiebra nos amenazan.Si hubiera tales,que no los hay....comprobariamos que todo es un inmenso farol,una leyenda urbana urdida por los parasitos Nacional-Social-Comunistas.

ANTICIPATED:US DOLLAR RALLY

THIS IS WHAT WE SAID ON 01/25/10 CHART BELOW WHAT HAPPENED.

CORRET!

THIS IS WHAT WE SAID ON 01,25,10,CHART BELOW WHAT HPPENED.

ACCORDING WITH THE MARKETS SYNERGIES THE CORRETION STILL UNDERWAY,THE WEAKIEST TIMES SERIES THE MARKERT (S&P)  AND NZD IN ALLL THEIR CROSSES.


                                                 DISCLAIMER OF WARRANTIES .

Past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future performance, and no representation or warranty, express or implied is made regarding future performance. Opinions and estimates reflect a judgment at original date of publication by FOREX CRITERIA and are subject to change.Foreign currency and financial instruments are subject to fluctuations in exchange rates that may have a positive or adverse effect on the value, price or income of such Investment.FX trading uses complex instruments, typically involve a high degree of risk and are intended for use only to sophisticated investors who are capable of understanding and assuming the risks involved.

MARKET SYNERGIES

As we said in the last Post,the US Dollar did indeed ,went up, we..ll follow the actual Uptrend(A),that must continue (B). 

In the chart above,there is bullish divergence like the short Bullish Divergence in 240 Min  Time Frame.So we expect a small uptren correction in all th series shown,in order with the Sinergy we are considering.

The Bullish Divergence in the contrarian Indicator (Below),coincident with the S&P Fall.Notice that in the above chart we have overlap the NZD (New Zealand $),that hehave in the same maner as it does al the NZD Crosses in a significant statistic coincidence.Also the Major Moving Divergence is too oversold (A), despite the short Divergence vith two paralell short lines.

Today we,ll see some key market Sinergies.In the chart above a clear bullish divergence,VXN and VIX,both are Contrarian Indicator,that indicate an inminet market fall. 

                         DISCLAIMER OF WARRANTIES .

Past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future performance, and no representation or warranty, express or implied is made regarding future performance. Opinions and estimates reflect a judgment at original date of publication by FOREX CRITERIA and are subject to change.Foreign currency and financial instruments are subject to fluctuations in exchange rates that may have a positive or adverse effect on the value, price or income of such Investment.FX trading uses complex instruments, typically involve a high degree of risk and are intended for use only to sophisticated investors who are capable of understanding and assuming the risks involved.

US DOLLAR:ATTENTION.CABLE ENDING UPTREND MOVE

THE US DOLLAR COULD BE IN A BRINK OF A FAST UPTREND  MOVE THIS WEEK!
BESIDES THIS, WE DO NOT THINK THE US DOLLAR IS DEFINITETLY AT THE LONG TERM UPTREND CYCLE MOVE SO LONG EXPECTED.
(A) IS THE SAME PATTERN IN 120 MIN (BELOW) AND IN DAILY CHART ABOVE.

IN THE LAST POST WE CONSIDERED THE DX IN A SHORT TERM TOP... BUT ...WE BETTER STAY TUNED TO FOLLOW HOW LARGE IS THE PRESENT MOVE DX 120 Min TIME FRAME.
EVEN IF WE COMBINE WITH THE BULLISH PATTERN IN THE DX DAILY CHART ABOVE.

IF YOU COMPARE THE ACTUAL CHART WITH ITS EQUIVALENT IN THE LAST POST THE PREDITION IS ALMOST COMPLETED EXCEPT FOR THE YEN.
IN THE NEXT POST WE WILL TRAY TO STABLISH THE DIFFENCE ON THE RELATIVE STRENGTH, THAT IS THE MOST DIFFICULT PREDICTION ISSUE ON FX MARKET. NEVERTHELESS I AM NOT VERY CONFIDENT IN THE DURATION OF THE CABLE MOVE.

AGAIN WE WERE CORRECT IN OUR PREDICTION ABOUT THE UPTRED OF THE BP.

WE WERE CORRECT ON CABLE LAST POST BUT AS WE SAID BP IS NOT A LEADER CURRENCY BECAUSE THEIR CROSSES DO NOT ALWAYS BEHAVE IN THE SAME WAY.
THIS TIME THERE ARE A CORRELATION DEPENDINDG WHICH ONE IS THE STRONGER/WEAKER IN THE PRESENT CYCLE. YEN AND CABLE SIDEWAYS.

                                                  DISCLAIMER OF WARRANTIES .

Past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future performance, and no representation or warranty, express or implied is made regarding future performance. Opinions and estimates reflect a judgment at original date of publication by FOREX CRITERIA and are subject to change.Foreign currency and financial instruments are subject to fluctuations in exchange rates that may have a positive or adverse effect on the value, price or income of such Investment.FX trading uses complex instruments, typically involve a high degree of risk and are intended for use only to sophisticated investors who are capable of understanding and assuming the risks involved.

DX AS EXPECTED, NZD CROSSES FOLLOWS TREND, CABLE AWAKENINGS

   THE  NZD CROSSES  AND THE DOW JONE BEHAVE IN THE SAME MANNER, SO WE HAVE AN EXCELENT INDICATOR, BECAUSE THE COVARIANCE  BETWEEN THE MENTIONED TIME SERIES ALWAYS TEND TO CERO.

AS WE SAID DAYS AGO THE US$ WAS IN A TRADING

RANGE, PEFORMING A MEDIUM TERM TOP.

   THE PAIR NZDJPY & CHFJPY IN 240 MIN ARE IN A SHORT TERM CORRECTION, BUT OUR FORESCAST IS THAT A MEDIUM TERM UPTREND FOLLOWS.

   NZDJPY & NZDCHF 120 IS PERFORMING A SHORT TERM CORRECTION.

THE BRITISH POUND (CABLE) IS AWAKENING PERFORMING A SHORT TERM DIVERGENCES THAT WILL REVALUE CABLE AGAINTS ITS CROSSES. NEVERTHELESS, THIS SITUATION IS ANORMAL.  THIS IS THE REASON WHY THE BP IS NOT CONSIDER A LEADER CURRENCY DUE TO  ITS IRREGULAR PERFORMANCE WITH  ITS CROSSES INVALID IT TO BE A SECURE CANDIDAT TO TRADE WITH.

IN THE CHART BELOW GBPEUR & GBP$  WE INTRODUCE , TWO NEWS CONCEPTS.
1)TIME SERIES COVARIANCE.
2)TIME SERIES CONVERGENCE.
WHEN WE FIND BOTH PLUS AN INDICATOR OF DIVERGENCE WE ARE IN PRESENCE  OF A STRONG PREDICTION PATTERN IN THE FOREX MARKET.

CHART BELOW SHOWING TWO NEW PATTERN PLUS THE CLASSIC DIVERGENCE.

DISCLAIMER OF WARRANTIES .

Past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future performance, and no representation or warranty, express or implied is made regarding future performance. Opinions and estimates reflect a judgment at original date of publication by FOREX CRITERIA and are subject to change.Foreign currency and financial instruments are subject to fluctuations in exchange rates that may have a positive or adverse effect on the value, price or income of such Investment.FX trading uses complex instruments, typically involve a high degree of risk and are intended for use only to sophisticated investors who are capable of understanding and assuming the risks involved.

BULLISH TREND CONFIRMATION

AUD$ & AUDCAD 120 Min.follows a Bullish trend. This means that the  AUD$ is the strongest against cross-rate, except with the NZD that confirms the last forecast.

AUDCHF & AUDJPY 120 Min follows the Bullish Trend.

AUDEUR & AUDGBP 120 Min.Follows bullish trend.

The cross-rate AUDNZD does not show any significant pattern.
So, we consider that the NZD AO-FX or NZD A0-FX are in a trading range.
Both of them are the strongest currency although the yield is in favor of the NZD A0-FX.

DISCLAIMER OF WARRANTIES .
Past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future performance, and no representation or warranty, express or implied is made regarding future performance. Opinions and estimates reflect a judgment at original date of publication by FOREX CRITERIA and are subject to change.Foreign currency and financial instruments are subject to fluctuations in exchange rates that may have a positive or adverse effect on the value, price or income of such Investment.FX trading uses complex instruments, typically involve a high degree of risk and are intended for use only to sophisticated investors who are capable of understanding and assuming the risks involved.